Democratic nominees for governor include three African-Americans, two of them in the old Confederacy, a prospect that not long ago would have been unthinkable. Record numbers of women are competing in congressional races. Elsewhere, Muslims, gays, lesbians and transgender people will be on the ballot for high-profile offices. That diverse […] Read more »
The Problem With ‘Electability’
… Discussions of electability are often really about identity — and they tend to come down negatively on nonwhite and non-male candidates. Others have done empirical work on what qualities (such as gender, ideology and race) make a person more or less likely to win an election, and I will […] Read more »
The answer to GOP dog whistles? Democrats should talk more about race, not less.
Since Donald Trump’s ascension to the White House, various political insiders have warned Democrats not to talk about race issues or what they term — “identity politics,” a phrase that intentionally downgrades a raft of critical concerns. … They’re wrong. In empirical testing, we found that Democrats can prevail by […] Read more »
4 reasons why anti-Trump Latino voters won’t swing the midterms
Latinos make up 12 percent of people eligible to vote in the 2018 midterm elections. Flickr/Erik Hersman, CC BY-SA Steffen W. Schmidt, Iowa State University The Democratic Party shouldn’t count on Latinos swinging many midterm races their way this year. Approximately 27.3 million U.S. Latinos are eligible to vote in […] Read more »
Trump has gained among black voters since the 2016 election
… The network exit polls had Trump winning only 8% among black voters in 2016. Hillary Clinton took 89% of their vote. That is, Clinton won black voters by an 81-percentage-point margin. Trump’s average net approval rating (approval rating minus disapproval rating) with blacks right now is -72 points. In […] Read more »
No, one-third of African Americans don’t support Trump. Not even close.
The White House regularly responds to accusations of racism by noting that black unemployment is at historic lows under Trump’s presidency. … Trump has also attempted to inoculate himself from charges of racism by selectively citing polling numbers, which suggest he’s remarkably popular for a Republican president among African Americans. […] Read more »