New CNN polling in two critical Senate battlegrounds finds that Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Blake Masters, while there is no clear leader in the race in Nevada between Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto and her GOP opponent, Adam Laxalt. The Arizona poll […] Read more »
NPR poll shows Biden’s approval rating is up but there are warning signs for Democrats
With just over a month to go in the 2022 midterm elections, Democrats are starting to rally around President Biden, according to the latest NPR/Marist poll. Biden’s approval rating is up to 44%, which marks a third straight month of improvement. He had bottomed out in July at about 36%. […] Read more »
Republicans hold a near-historic lead on a key midterm indicator
… We’re all used to polls that ask voters which issue is most important to them. Gallup puts the question to Americans open-ended, meaning a respondent can say anything from the mundane (e.g. inflation) to the inane (e.g. clowns). Gallup, unlike other pollsters, has another twist on that question. They […] Read more »
Abortion impact on elections
Issues are the accepted language of political campaigning. But rarely, if ever, has a single issue so transformed the political landscape in the weeks before an election as abortion seems to have done this year. In a country that generally supports abortion rights but has long been falsely confident that […] Read more »
Arizona: Kelly Up in Senate Race, Hobbs and Lake in Tight Governor’s Race
Democrat Mark Kelly is ahead of Republican Blake Masters among Arizona registered voters in the state’s U.S. Senate race. Kelly’s lead narrows among those who say they definitely plan to vote. In Arizona’s gubernatorial contest, only one point separates Kari Lake and Katie Hobbs among the statewide electorate. Among those […] Read more »
Are Political Winds Blowing in Republicans’ Favor Again?
For most of the summer, President Biden and the Democrats had the political winds at their backs. They saw their poll numbers rise as gas prices fell, as the Supreme Court refocused voters on abortion, and as the Jan. 6 hearings and the investigation into Donald J. Trump’s handling of […] Read more »