How Google Trends Predicted Donald Trump’s Rise, and What It Means For Polling

What are the most important issues in a political campaign? As Donald Trump has risen to the top of the Republican primary field, pundits have speculated especially on what motivates his supporters, and what it may mean for the future of American politics. Pollsters are certainly interested in this as […] Read more »

How the Other Fifth Lives

… The “truly advantaged” wing of the Democratic Party – a phrase coined in this newspaper by Robert Sampson, a sociologist at Harvard – has provided the Democratic Party with crucial margins of victory where its candidates have prevailed. These upscale Democrats have helped fill the gap left by the departure […] Read more »

2016 Latino Voters in Colorado, Florida, and Nevada

… While national data are helpful for understanding the broad contours of how immigration politics and policy are likely to matter next November, the uneven distribution of Latino voters across the states means that these effects can be either more-or-less pronounced depending upon the size of the Latino electorate and […] Read more »

America’s Voice/Latino Decisions 2016 Tracking Poll

Earlier today, America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released the first of three waves of national polling of the Latino electorate … The survey was designed to measure how immigration policy and politics are shaping the views of Latino voters as the 2016 election approaches. … Consistent with the broader perceptions […] Read more »