The fundamentals and the midterm

The current conventional wisdom is for the midterm to be somewhat better than average for the president’s party in the House. (I set aside the Senate here.) The fundamentals doubt that, as we’ll see. The “fundamentals” provide a helpful baseline, even if “non-fundamentals” such as polling, candidate quality, unique issues, […] Read more »

National UMass Amherst Poll Measures Voters’ Fear, Anger and Worries Approaching Midterm Elections

As the nation approaches the 2022 midterm elections, American voters expressed fear, anger and a great deal of worry in a new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll, the results of which were released today. Nearly three-quarters of Democratic voters (74%) and 65% of Republican voters said that they will […] Read more »

Midterm Voting Intentions Are Divided, Economic Gloom Persists

With less than three weeks to go until the midterm elections, registered voters’ preferences are nearly evenly divided: 41% say they favor the Democratic candidates in their districts, while a nearly identical percentage (40%) support Republican candidates; 18% are not sure how they will vote or favor candidates other than […] Read more »

Biden Not Paying Enough Attention to Most Important Issues

More Americans are struggling economically than felt that way at the prior midterm elections four years ago. Most say President Joe Biden has not been paying attention to their most important concerns as inflation continues to be the top issue in this cycle, according to the latest national Monmouth University […] Read more »

GOP holds big leads on key economic issues ahead of the November elections, CNBC survey shows

The third-quarter CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds some modest improvements in economic attitudes and in President Joe Biden’s approval ratings across the country, but Americans still harbor mostly negative views on the economy and give the GOP double-digit leads on key economic and financial issues ahead of the November elections. […] Read more »