“President Donald Trump is off to a fast start,” I wrote in a Jan. 30, 2017, column for Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, before warning that the same “aggressiveness could produce the same sort of reaction that Barack Obama’s fast start did in 2009: It could lead to a […] Read more »
Biden’s plea for masks will fail. Blame political polarization.
Among the immediate measures to combat a fourth wave of coronavirus cases, wearing masks should be considered the least controversial. … Yet President Biden’s recent plea for people to wear masks — at least until the ongoing vaccination drive results in herd immunity — is likely to be ignored by […] Read more »
Revisiting Polling for 2021 and Beyond
… Together, we represent five survey research firms for Democratic political campaigns. During the 2020 election, we worked on the presidential campaign, every major Senate and gubernatorial race, and congressional races across the country. Our main job as pollsters is to provide campaigns with a strategic roadmap for winning, guide […] Read more »
Polling data reveal a real opportunity for Democrats
… From our vantage point, the data plot line that is the most meaningful for Democrats, as we look ahead to big races in 2021 and the 2022 midterms, is the 6-point increase in independent affiliation from just a few months ago at the end of 2020. Today, 44 percent […] Read more »
Why Biden is making more progress on economic than social issues
The magnitude of the economic proposals that President Joe Biden may pass through Congress this year is drawing legitimate comparisons to Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal and Lyndon B. Johnson’s Great Society. But Biden simultaneously faces the prospect that almost all of his legislative initiatives revolving around social, cultural and […] Read more »
Fewer in U.S. Say Government Environmental Action Lacking
Early in Joe Biden’s tenure as president, a slightly diminished 56% majority of Americans think the U.S. government is doing too little to protect the environment. This marks a five-percentage-point decline from one year ago and coincides with a nine-point increase in those saying the government is doing too much […] Read more »