We conducted a large, mostly cell phone survey with an oversample of Republicans in the 2022 battleground for the U.S. Senate, governorships, and House, and it is painfully clear Donald Trump, Lindsey Graham, and Kevin McCarthy know their party. The Trump loyalists who strongly approve of him are two-thirds of […] Read more »
Only in the State of Denial Is Vote-Fraud Rampant
According to a recent CNN poll, 30 percent of Americans—including 70 percent of Republicans—do not believe that Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 election. … I have no doubt that those convinced of widespread voting fraud are sincere in their concerns. The reality is that there is only one state […] Read more »
Americans are divided along party lines on the direction the country is headed in
Fifty-six percent of Americans approve of President Biden’s work while in office. Less than half of Americans believe the country is headed in the right direction, a sentiment primarily driven by Republicans. Partisanship also plays a role in Biden’s approval rating on the nation’s top issues, with Republicans largely disapproving […] Read more »
Trump-Biden Was Worst Presidential Polling Miss in 40 Years, Panel Says
Public opinion surveys ahead of the 2020 presidential election were the most inaccurate in 40 years, according to an expert panel convened by the main trade group for pollsters, which said its work hadn’t yet pointed to a way to correct the error. In the aggregate, the panel said, polls […] Read more »
The “Big Lie”: Most Republicans Believe the 2020 Election was Stolen
Republicans in the House of Representatives have voted to dismiss Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) from her position as chair of the House Republican Conference due to her refusal to support former President Donald Trump and go along with the so-called “Big Lie,” the false narrative that the 2020 election was […] Read more »
Why Americans’ support for democratic values may not protect democracy in practice
There has been widespread concern about the potential for democratic decline in the United States in the wake of the contested 2020 presidential election. Using new polling data, we find that 1) the belief that there was fraud in the 2020 election is associated with modestly lower support among Americans […] Read more »