To the extent the Republican primary is a contest at all right now, it looks like it’s one between Donald Trump and a sentiment one might call “Trump fatigue.” And Trump is winning that matchup easily. Here’s why: MAGA-sounding ideas are widely held in the Republican electorate, an environment that […] Read more »
Don’t Panic About Biden’s Approval Ratings
In the wake of President Biden’s announcement that he will seek re-election, there have been many stories assessing his chances of winning. Most if not all of these stories point to Biden’s low approval ratings as a danger sign, as they are well below the ratings of presidents in previous […] Read more »
How bad is it for Ron DeSantis? He’s polling at RFK Jr.’s level
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has spent the past few months running to the right ahead of his expected entry into the 2024 Republican presidential primary campaign. From signing into law a six-week abortion ban to fighting with Disney, the governor has focused on satisfying his party’s conservative base. So far […] Read more »
Trump Could Definitely Beat Biden
Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 Republican primary is not certain. But it now looks more than merely likely. … Without question, Trump is an exceptionally weak general-election candidate. To no small extent, his personal odiousness does much of the Democratic Party’s persuasion-and-mobilization work for it. … But that doesn’t […] Read more »
Will the 2024 presidential election be 2020 all over again?
With President Joe Biden announcing his 2024 presidential campaign earlier this week, Americans are facing a similar sight: Biden and former President Donald Trump appear to be the most likely options to be the Democratic and Republican candidates, respectively, according to early polling. Of course, it’s far too early to […] Read more »
Biden Begins Reelection Bid at Low Point in His Presidency
As Joe Biden begins his reelection campaign, his job approval rating among the U.S. public has slipped to 37%, the lowest Gallup has measured for him to date. Biden’s job approval has been in the low 40% range for most of the past 19 months, apart from the current reading […] Read more »