Key Points• The number of “crossover” districts — those won by different parties for president and House — has generally been declining over time.• Under the current congressional district lines, there were only 16 crossover districts in 2020, with Republicans winning 9 Biden-won seats and Democrats winning 7 Trump-won seats.• […] Read more »
Trump Poses a Test Democracy Is Failing
Ordinary citizens play a critical role in maintaining democracy. They refuse to re-elect — at least in theory — politicians who abuse their power, break the rules and reject the outcome of elections they lose. How is it, then, that Donald Trump, who has defied these basic presumptions, stands a […] Read more »
Biden’s approval falls to new low amid economic pessimism, inflation woes, CNBC survey finds
Americans harbor some of the most downbeat views on the economy since the recovery from the Great Recession, and some of their attitudes are in line with those seen only during recessions, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey. Amid soaring inflation, 47% of the public say the economy […] Read more »
Are Democrats Headed for a Shellacking in the Midterm Election?
Key Points• Presidential party midterm losses are a regular feature of American politics.• President Biden’s numbers are weak as well. But it may be that Democrats are insulated in some ways from a potential “shellacking.”• Democrats are very likely to lose their House majority, although their total net loss is […] Read more »
U.S. Approval Ratings Retreat After Afghanistan Withdrawal
After a strong rebound during President Joe Biden’s first six months in office, approval ratings of U.S. leadership around the world slipped in the second half of the year, coinciding with the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. … Biden ended his first year in office with a 45% median approval rating […] Read more »
A recession would only deepen Democratic woes
As awful as the last 15 months have been for Democrats since they completed the electoral trifecta of winning control of the White House, the House, and the Senate, there is a strong chance that things get a lot worse. Last summer it was Afghanistan that began to weigh down […] Read more »