In our increasingly polarized politics, the middle of the electorate — swing voters, independents and soft partisans — has become crucial in measuring public opinion. If you don’t have the middle on your side in a particular debate, you’re not going to get a majority of public support, or close […] Read more »
Three in five Americans disapprove of Biden’s handling of economic recovery
A new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds that President Joe Biden’s approval rating on a number of key issues—including economic recovery, inflation, and gas prices—remains underwater with the American public, as a majority disapprove of the job the president is doing. While Biden’s standing on these issues remains largely unchanged from […] Read more »
Economic issues top the public’s agenda
As the midterm election approaches, most Americans say that the economy, inflation and rising gas prices are the most important issues in determining how they will vote for Congress this November, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. With inflation on the rise since last fall, Americans have been significantly […] Read more »
Black voters’ support for Biden has cooled, poll finds
As far as Stacy Mumford is concerned, Joe Biden fulfilled the campaign promise that mattered most to her the instant he was inaugurated: simply not being named “Donald Trump.” But in the 18 months since then, she hasn’t seen Biden deliver on the myriad promises she believes he made to […] Read more »
Even in a Great Year, Republicans’ Winnable Seats Are Limited
Just as it is rare for rivers to reverse their flow, in the last six months before a midterm election the clear direction of that campaign almost never reverses. Midterm elections are almost always referenda on the sitting president and governing party, with the cumulative impressions of how that president […] Read more »
How Much Is Biden to Blame for His Poor Approval Ratings?
… With dispirited Democrats braced for losing the House and maybe the Senate in November, a relevant question is whether the current moment of political torment was brought on by easily avoidable miscues by Biden or whether it was inevitable. It’s tempting to begin with Biden’s dismal 41 percent approval […] Read more »