For the last couple of years, I’ve stressed that when it comes to campaign polling, it’s more important to focus on the vote share each candidate is getting than it is to obsess about the margin that separates the two candidates. The fact that a candidate is ‘ahead’ of another […] Read more »
New York State: 76% Say New Law Requiring Permit to Get Semi-Automatic Weapons Will be Good for the State
By 76-14%, voters say a new law requiring a permit to get a semi-automatic rifle – including being at least 21, passing a background check and taking a safety course – will be good for New York. By a similar 79-15% margin, voters want to see the Supreme Court uphold […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Six in ten favor U.S. continuing to provide aid to Ukraine
Voters want to keep helping Ukraine fight Russia, even as their sense of the war’s relevancy declines, according to a new Fox News survey. Six in ten favor the United States continuing to provide weapons (61%) and financial aid (59%) to Ukraine. That’s unchanged since March when a similar number […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Record-high negative views of Biden
Fifty-seven percent view Biden negatively, while 42% view him positively. … Former President Trump is also underwater, with a 44% favorable rating compared to 55% unfavorable. … Biden’s job performance also suffers on all issues tested: more disapprove than approve of the job he’s doing by 48 points on inflation, […] Read more »
Parties Ask: Will Our Last Nominee Be Our Next Nominee?
Will our 2020 presidential nominee run again in 2024? That’s the question hanging over both of the major political parties right now. … Putting aside an unlikely primary challenge, one could draw a Venn diagram of Democratic attitudes on the subject. One circle represents Democrats afraid that Biden can’t win […] Read more »
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome, too many will blithely assume that the 2022 results will yield significant insights into President Biden’s prospects in 2024. History […] Read more »