Joe Biden currently has a robust lead in polls. If the election were held today, he might even win in a landslide, carrying not only traditional swing states such as Florida and Pennsylvania but potentially adding new states such as Georgia and Texas to the Democratic coalition. But the election […] Read more »
Convention Bumps Revisited
It’s hard to say what we should expect in terms of polling gains from the COVID-era, remote nominating conventions over the next few weeks. On one hand, the well-choreographed convention floor “show” will be missing, potentially robbing the both Biden and Trump of whatever benefits there are from the spectacle […] Read more »
Another electoral college-popular vote split? It’s possible
New CBS News/YouGov polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin seem to tell a familiar story. Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by six points among likely voters in both states (49% to 43% in Pennsylvania and 48% to 42% in Wisconsin). Biden’s advantages in those states are nothing […] Read more »
Shy Trump Voters Depressing His Poll Numbers?
… Political pendulums can swing back forth quickly and so can polls. But one issue that has surfaced in the news media after some state polling failures in 2016 is the claim of the “shy Trump voter.” This is the assertion by some pundits and politicians that polls undercount Trump’s […] Read more »
The Uncertain Science Of Election Polling
With the presidential election less than three months away, people are fixated on polls. Biden’s up, Trump is down – but is that really true? We discuss America’s polling obsession. CONT. On Point, WBUR The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s […] Read more »
New polls suggest Trump’s position has stabilized
There’s little doubt that former Vice President Joe Biden has the upperhand against President Donald Trump at this point. Biden has led in poll after poll nationally and in almost every poll in the core six battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). Yet, while Biden has […] Read more »