One of the hardest things to do in politics is to keep your voters engaged and motivated to vote in the midterm elections after your party wins a presidential election. This is especially true if your party controls all three branches of government. In midterm years, only the most committed […] Read more »
Why comparing the 2022 midterm dynamics to 1966 is risky
Democrats lost 47 House seats in the 1966 midterm elections, and that result still “haunts” them, wrote Washington Post columnist Charles Lane recently. But should it? After noting President Joe Biden’s solid job approval numbers and widespread predictions of a strong economic recovery over the next year and a half, […] Read more »
A Game of Inches
For the last two years, COVID has upended almost every aspect of our lives. Not since 9/11 has a singular event dominated American life. At the same time, even as Americans gave low marks to then-President Trump for his handling of the pandemic and currently approve of President Biden’s job […] Read more »
When we’ll know how much Trump’s support is worth
Early 2022 Senate primaries will be a good test of President Donald Trump’s enduring strength within the Republican Party. … While Trump likes to boast about the success of candidates he has endorsed in the past, that won’t guarantee future victories. He is wading into more crowded and competitive races […] Read more »
A Large Field May Save the Day for Cheney, Other Republicans
Discretion is said to be a major part of valor. In the case of an incumbent who has fallen out of favor with his or her party base, they must apply such discretion in their decision whether to run for reelection. In cases of a lone, credible primary challenger, the […] Read more »
The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022
Congress is out of session with lawmakers back home for the holiday recess — a traditional time for fireworks, parades, and yes, politicking. The fight for control of the evenly divided Senate will be the most dramatic showdown of 2022, and based on the candidates who have jumped in so […] Read more »