At the Aspen Ideas Festival, Nate Silver talks with Katie Couric about the last presidential election, the next presidential election, and baseball. NOTE: Audio begins at 06:10. Read more »
‘Big Data’ threatens poll standards
Campaign polling is crossing over into dangerous territory as it meets “Big Data,” the latest craze in campaigning. … The hitch for political pollsters is that these new methods threaten to trample on privacy and confidentiality, as traditionally practiced by survey researchers. [cont.] David Hill (Hill Research Consultants), The Hill Read more »
Video: When Pollsters Get it Wrong – You Have a Right to Know
Darrell Bricker of Ipsos Public Affairs: How pollsters can do a more effective job at predicting election outcomes. Read more »
PredictWise’s Election Performance
We start with three different types of data … Voter Intention Polling Data … Fundamental Data … Prediction Market Data … One simple question motivates our method, what combination of these three key data types creates the most accurate, relevant, and timely forecasts (i.e., the most efficient and useful forecasts […] Read more »
Nate Silver on the Art and Science of Prediction
Intelligence Squared: Nate Silver on the Art and Science of Prediction Read more »
Video: Data and Decisions
Nate Silver, Steven Brams, Andrew Britton and Zach Messitte discuss the Ripon College commencement theme, Data and Decisions. Read more »