What a difference four years makes in politics. At this point in 2017, Democrats were about to pull off a stunning Senate win against a very flawed opponent in the deeply red state of Alabama. It was one of many indications that Democrats were on their way to a big […] Read more »
Incumbency vs. Environment in 2022’s Gubernatorial Races
Key Points• Amid a promising national environment for Republicans, we are changing ratings in 4 gubernatorial contests — 3 of which are in the GOP’s favor.• The power of gubernatorial incumbency will be tested in 2022, both by a plethora of Republican primary challengers to sitting GOP governors and, for […] Read more »
Abortion wars have raged for decades. They could soon get worse.
… A decision to overturn Roe would forever etch the court of Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. in the history books and trigger a political earthquake, potentially redrawing the balance between the supporters and opponents of abortion rights. … If Roe is overturned, its effect will burn into the […] Read more »
Retirements as Cause or Effect?
With news Monday that yet another House Democrat, Rep. Tom Suozzi, is declining to run for reelection, there was a new onset of shivers down the spines of Democrats on Capitol Hill. The New York member, who represents a Democratic-leaning Long Island district, is the 18th Democrat to declare that […] Read more »
Why we need to stop with the 2024 predictions
We’re less than three years away from the 2024 presidential election. That hasn’t stopped polls of a potential matchup between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump — which indicate Biden is in trouble — from being published. For those tempted to look at these polls or the current […] Read more »
Why Republicans are favored to take back the Senate
Democrats are holding onto the US Senate by a thread. The chamber is tied 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris breaking ties in the Democrats’ favor. Republicans need to pick up only one seat in next year’s midterm elections to gain control of the chamber, and an early look at […] Read more »