Most national and battleground-state polls show Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump. Do the “late-deciders” hold the power to swing the numbers? Democratic pollster Peter Hart and Republican pollster Whit Ayres join Judy Woodruff to break down those polls, what they are telling us today and what they predict for […] Read more »
Is The Presidential Race Tightening?
It seems like we’re overdue for another round of “is the presidential race tightening?” And the answer isn’t totally clear. Our model thinks Donald Trump has probably narrowed his deficit against Clinton slightly, but the difference is modest enough that we’ve wanted to change our answer with every new round […] Read more »
If They Google You, Do You Win?
Are voters misleading pollsters? Are there hidden Donald Trump supporters who could throw the election his way? Over the past few years, we have both become interested in how data from the internet, particularly Google searches, might be used to predict events. People also tell Google things — a lot […] Read more »
What the latest polls mean for the presidency — and Congress
With just over two weeks until Election Day, there are some surprising shifts occurring in the electoral map. Judy Woodruff speaks with correspondent Lisa Desjardins and Nathan Gonzales of The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report about which voters are deserting Donald Trump, the latest poll numbers and the possibilities for […] Read more »
Clinton Probably Finished Off Trump Last Night
I’m not sure I need to tell you this, but Hillary Clinton is probably going to be the next president. It’s just a question of what “probably” means. Clinton went into the final presidential debate on Wednesday with a lead of about 7 percentage points over Donald Trump. And according […] Read more »
New Electoral College Ratings Favor Clinton
With less than three weeks to go in election 2016 it is clear that Trump has abandoned any precept of fighting for persuadable voters. Instead, as he showed in every debate including the third and final one last night, Trump is all about stoking and stroking his base. Polling since […] Read more »