A review of available public opinion data establishes several basic conclusions about Americans’ views of the situation in Ukraine, recognizing that opinions are fluid and subject to change as the situation there continues to unfold. Americans are following the Ukraine situation closely, as might be imagined given its dominance of […] Read more »
United and Still Polarized
… Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth Poll, wrote this week that when they asked respondents to use a word to describe the state of the country, the most common response was “divided.” And, while “fewer Americans feel we are becoming more divided than we have been over the […] Read more »
Gas Prices and Presidential Approval
Key Points• President Joe Biden and his party are struggling amidst myriad challenges, including high gas prices. Gas prices have spiked in recent weeks following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.• There is some association between higher gas prices and lower presidential approval, although the connection is not particularly strong.• This […] Read more »
Code Red on the Democratic Brand
Politics is not a complicated game to win. Either your party fields compelling candidates that voters mostly like or your party offers a compelling and relevant enough agenda that voters mostly support. The one thing a party can’t do and expect to win is suffer double-digit deficits to the other […] Read more »
Don’t rely on voters’ poll answers on gas prices or a no-fly zone
Voters, most of whom do not follow politics hour by hour, are unreliable indicators of what they want. Given how little time many voters spend “studying the issues,” the media and elected officials should be wary about finding clarity, let alone consistency, in what the people want. A case in […] Read more »
Biden states will decide who controls the Senate
The one silver lining for Democrats on an otherwise stormy political horizon may be the map of states with competitive Senate races this fall. All of the Senate contests both sides consider the most competitive will be in states that Joe Biden won in 2020, albeit in most cases narrowly. […] Read more »