… At one level, the likelihood that the Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade would seem to be an ideal vehicle to invigorate the left. Such a decision, in political terms, would amount to the imposition of a major change in social policy, by a bare 5-to-4 majority of […] Read more »
4 polling takeaways ahead of the 2022 midterm election
America’s crucial midterm election is about 180 days away, but already some important dynamics are emerging. This preliminary analysis can provide us with some direction about what issues, voter groups and national winds may determine victory or defeat on Election Day. With the dust still settling from yet another primary […] Read more »
The Roe effect
… As recently as last year, just 35 percent thought it was likely Roe could be overturned. Pre-Trump, the numbers were even lower. That calculus has already been dramatically altered. The threat is here and it’s real, and the fact will be evident before the election. The pro-Roe majority will […] Read more »
Manufacturing Opinion on Lifting Title 42 Border Restrictions
The Biden Administration intends to fully lift the Title 42 border restrictions, which have been in place since March 2020, on May 23. A federal judge appointed by Donald Trump, however, has ordered a two-week halt to the phasing out of those restrictions. In the meantime, three media polls—Politico/Morning Consult, […] Read more »
Americans now see both political parties as equally extreme
Polling released on Friday by CNN indicates that Americans generally view the two main political parties as equivalently extreme in their views and policies. It’s a finding that’s interesting in the context of the recent debate over partisan extremism, prompted by Elon Musk’s meme on the subject — but also […] Read more »
GOP still favored in midterms, despite possible overturning of Roe v. Wade
The national political environment has favored Republicans since last fall. And it has only gotten worse for Democrats in the months since as inflation has skyrocketed and President Joe Biden’s approval rating has dropped. The recent leak of a draft US Supreme Court opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade […] Read more »