… All you have to do is turn on the political news to see that we are a country where political tribalism is high. Political science tells us that congressional polarization, for instance, is at its highest level since the 19th century. But while Democrats and Republicans may be further […] Read more »
A rough week for Biden. How much will it affect Democrats in November?
They say that bad news often comes in batches, and that was the case for President Biden this past week: a bleak new poll, another gloomy inflation report and a legislative setback. As he traveled through the Middle East, the home front remained on fire politically. … Biden being a […] Read more »
What’s Behind Biden’s Record-Low Approval Rating?
In games such as golf, you win by scoring lower than any of your opponents. But in the realm of presidential job approval, such an approach is a recipe for political upheaval, as President Biden has found over the past few months. Polls continue to show his approval rating in […] Read more »
The weird divergence between views of Biden and support for his party
… Biden’s net approval sits at minus-16 (a figure obtained by subtracting those who disapprove from those who approve). The previous record-holder for lowest net approval 541 days into the presidency was a gentleman named Donald Trump. His net approval at this point was minus-11. … Presidential approval is one […] Read more »
Will Biden and Trump face off again in 2024?
… First-term presidents are usually their party’s nominee in the next election. Aside from that, however, conventional wisdom suggests it’s too early to say who the 2024 contenders will be. We’re not so sure. We believe that even this early, we can gain insight into who the nominees will be […] Read more »
Strength in Numbers: A Book Event with G. Elliott Morris
Political polling has come under sharp critique as a result of lackluster performances in two straight election cycles. Yet, despite the public’s skepticism, polling is more important than ever. In his new book Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them (W. W. Norton, 2022), G. Elliott […] Read more »