If you follow the trendline of plummeting trust in newspapers, as just updated by Gallup, you could make an argument that by the year 2030 or so, 0 percent of respondents will say they have any “confidence” in newspapers and TV news. … Will the last poll respondent to lose […] Read more »
How You Feel About Gender Roles Can Tell Us How You’ll Vote
The phenomenon of the gender gap — the fact that women as a whole are more supportive of the Democratic Party than men are — masks significant divisions in the American electorate. … It almost goes without saying, but men and women who support traditional gender roles for men and […] Read more »
The polls you should ignore
Some pollsters barely wait until the ink on the ballots is dry in one election before they begin horse-race polling for the next election. Most wait a little longer, but here we are, in mid-2022, starting to see more and more 2024 primary polls. To be clear, I am referring […] Read more »
The Supreme Court is Now Operating Outside of American Public Opinion
For more than a decade, decisions handed down by the U.S. Supreme Court were largely in step with American public opinion on major policy issues, even as the Court’s makeup grew more conservative. Abruptly, that is no longer the case. The Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson has garnered all […] Read more »
Here’s what the post-Roe polling says about voters’ top issue
Few individual news events have the power to singlehandedly rearrange voters’ electoral priorities. But if anything held that possibility, it might have been the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade. … What voters care about, and how those priorities influence their decisions, is too complicated to be fully […] Read more »
Q&A: Author Elliott Morris on Public Opinion Polling in the United States and Its Role in Our Democracy
Data journalist Elliott Morris, U.S. correspondent for The Economist, talked about the history of political polling in the United States going back to the 19th century and the development and use of polling since then. He is the author of Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need […] Read more »