NBC’s Domenico Montanaro addresses the criticism of some who believe public polling is skewed to favor Democrats with President Obama leading. NBC News Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy Read more »
Within a Field Goal: Gerald Seib speaks with GOP pollster Whit Ayres
When it comes to analyzing current polls on the presidential campaign, veteran Republican pollster Whit Ayres turns to a football analogy: Mitt Romney is behind but within a field goal for victory. “All these premature obituaries are really amazing if you look at just how close this race is,” Mr. […] Read more »
Analysis: Polling criticism unfounded
It’s a conspiracy theory of the highest level: media organizations allegedly manipulating data in public opinion polls to try and help President Barack Obama win a second term. Democracy crushed. The accusations are predicated on the idea that some media organizations are interviewing too many Democrats in their surveys, which […] Read more »
Q&A With Nate Silver on His New Book, Whether Romney Has a Shot, and Why He Doesn’t Play Fantasy Baseball Anymore
Polling wizard Nate Silver has just released his first book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t, in which he examines everything from politics and weather forecasts to chess-playing computers and the stock market. We talked to Silver today about the race for […] Read more »
It Must Be the Polls
Nearly every national poll shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney. … There’s still more than a month until the election. Mr. Obama could lose. Mr. Romney could win. Hanging chads could leave the result up to the Supreme Court. But at the moment it’s rational to conclude that Mr. Obama […] Read more »
PRESS Pass: David Gregory interviews Nate Silver
New York Times numbers guru Nate Silver says recent polling clearly shows President Obama as the front runner. While the lead may be small, Silver concedes, likening it to a one-touchdown lead in football game, “late in the fourth quarter, that can become pretty meaningful especially if you have kind […] Read more »