After a decisive victory in November and attendant surge in popularity, President Barack Obama’s post-election honeymoon appears to be coming to an end. A wave of recent polls show that his job approval ratings have dropped from their post-election peak, leading some to blame the sequester and others to speculate […] Read more »
Why the ABC/Washington Post Poll on the Sequester is Really ‘Deeply Misleading’
Last week I blogged about the ABC/Washington Post poll on the sequester, citing with approval Matthew Yglesias’ characterization of the article reporting the results as “deeply misleading.” Patrick J. Moynihan, a former senior polling analyst at ABC News, tweeted that my analysis was “unfair,” arguing that “Outright dismissal of research […] Read more »
2012 Post-Election Meaning for 2014
Last November on election day McLaughlin & Associates completed our post-election poll. As we all know President Obama was re-elected by as decisive a margin as George W. Bush received in 2004. It was an election where President Obama won the Democratic vote 92% to 7%. Governor Romney won the […] Read more »
Social media for social science: The imperfect window
Much of the world, it seems, has been atwitter about social media in recent years. Researchers are no exception. Rather than needing to solicit insight from people with telephone calls during dinner or mailing surveys that largely end up in the trash, social scientists now have readily available tools to […] Read more »
Is It Too Early for 2016 Polls?
There are more than 1,000 days before the 2016 Iowa caucuses, but several polls have already been released testing national support for prospective candidates for the Republican and Democratic nominations for president. … But isn’t it too early to even look at such polls? Aren’t they more valuable as entertainment […] Read more »
More on Pre-Election Polling
Mark Blumenthal at The Huffington Post has written again about Gallup’s methodological work in our 2012 pre-election polling — albeit rather belatedly from our original announcements about our review plans in late January. … Mark has written a number of posts about Gallup now, but we haven’t seen a lot […] Read more »