President Obama’s poll numbers have hit just about the lowest point of his presidency. They started sinking after the Obamacare website’s miserable debut last month. Now, only around 40 percent of Americans think Obama is doing a good job. More than half disapprove of his performance. (A year ago, the […] Read more »
The Surprisingly Dramatic Terry & Ken Show
A year ago, almost everyone who followed Virginia politics thought that Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R) had the inside track to winning the governorship. … So it’s actually noteworthy that McAuliffe won by any margin. Ultimately, Cuccinelli was just too socially conservative for a moderate swing state that is trending […] Read more »
Peter Hart shows students how to get at what voters really think
… “What I love about my profession is I get to go deep. I get to find out what’s on your mind and what you’re thinking and why it’s important,” said [Peter] Hart, who is teaching public opinion techniques and strategies as the Visiting Murrow Lecturer of the Practice of […] Read more »
Terry McAuliffe won, but why was the Virginia race so close? Here are 6 reasons.
Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s win over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race was predicted by virtually all public polls. But the narrowness of that victory was, largely, missed by polls. So, why was it so close, and what did the polls miss? CONT. Peyton M. Craighill & Scott Clement, […] Read more »
Polls give Obama a free pass
The public polls are giving President Obama a free pass. None are asking the tough questions about his performance in office. Most importantly, no pollsters in the public realm are asking about Obama’s perceived motives and public demeanor. CONT. David Hill (Hill Research Consultants), The Hill Read more »
To understand the emotive part of voters’ decisions, you need numbers
At the end of The Washington Post’s review of the book “Double Down” by Mark Halperin and John Heilemann, Peter Hamby fires a shot across the bow of the “Nate Silver wing of the Internet” …. For Hamby, the fact that voters care about “the human side of these strange and wily […] Read more »