Few polls have signaled Democratic peril this year quite like those in Colorado, the purple state that twice helped push Barack Obama into the White House. Just look at Quinnipiac’s surveys throughout 2013. They’ve found Obama’s public approval in Colorado ranging from the low 40s to the mid 30s; formerly […] Read more »
Canada: Pollster worried shoddy surveys will lead to polling ban during elections
A spate of spectacularly inaccurate polls in several provincial elections and Monday’s federal by-elections has one of Canada’s leading pollsters worried that the day is fast approaching when public opinion surveys will be banned during campaigns. John Wright, senior vice-president of Ipsos Global Public Affairs, said in his view shoddy […] Read more »
The Year of Polling Terribly
This year, no one in Washington is doing a good job. That’s according to favorability polls, which in the last few months have steadily churned out record low after record low of the American public’s confidence in its leaders. … If trends hold, Washington is set to close out the […] Read more »
2016 Polling Comes Too Soon For This Political Reporter
The email landed in my inbox at 7:01 Tuesday morning. The subject line read, “NBC News Poll: Christie Trails Clinton In Hypothetical 2016 Match-Up, Faces Divided GOP.” My reaction when I got this breaking news with my first cup of coffee? A big, non-verbal, heavy sigh. CONT. Don Gonyea, NPR News Read more »
Pew’s Misleading Trans Fat Poll
In his response to my article critical of a Pew poll, Michael Dimock, Director of the Pew Research Center, acknowledges that I raise a “legitimate point,” that “one major challenge to measuring public opinion is that people may not always know what you are asking about.” I raised this point, […] Read more »
Does VA Gov Explain the 1992 Perot Vote?
One more time into the question about the VA-Gov polls and the election results. I came up with a possible (and speculative) explanation based on the condition of two candidates who were not especially popular among their own parties, along with a sufficiently well-publicized third candidate. CONT. Jonathan Bernstein, A […] Read more »