Taking any Twitter poll seriously is a bad idea. Making business decisions via Twitter poll is an even worse idea. Elon Musk seems determined to do both, polling Twitter users on policy changes and even his status at the company (although as of this writing, he has not clearly acknowledged […] Read more »
McLaughlin Poll: Trump Is Still the One to Beat
Our most recent poll of 1,000 likely U.S. voters was conducted between Dec. 9-14, 2022. This poll made news last week, because it differs significantly from several media polls released right before ours. Importantly, the poll shows former President Trump strongly leading the GOP field for 2024. In fact, our […] Read more »
What to Watch in 2023
Even as we look ahead to the new year, we can be assured that the political media focus will be trained, as it has for the last five years, on Donald Trump—his continuing legal and political troubles, the ‘reckoning’ within the GOP about the former president’s role in the party’s […] Read more »
How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump
Much of the conversation in the leadup to the midterms revolved around how Republicans were clamoring for former President Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Democrats wanted President Joe Biden to stay away. A little over a month after the election, however, the picture looks quite different. Biden is in his best […] Read more »
How Democrats Prevented a Red Wave
By all major political indicators, 2022 should have delivered the type of shellacking that the president’s party typically endures in midterm elections: Over 70% of voters believed the country was on the wrong track, 76% rated the economy negatively, and President Biden’s approval rating of 43% has historically resulted in […] Read more »
How Donald Trump is helping Raphael Warnock in Georgia
Donald Trump’s continued presence on the American political scene is one of the reasons Republicans underperformed in this year’s midterm elections. The former president’s debilitating effect on his party was perhaps no more evident than in Georgia, where Trump’s Republican nemesis Gov. Brian Kemp cruised to reelection, while his preferred […] Read more »