David Weigel has a piece up arguing that Democrats have been so intoxicated with business leaders taking the gay rights side in the Indiana religious freedom controversy that they’re ignoring polling showing that the public agrees with Mike Pence. … The truth is that this is an issue where the […] Read more »
Does the public really support Iran nuclear agreement it also thinks won’t work?
If we didn’t know better, we might read recent media poll results and think the American public is downright stupid. A new ABC/Washington Post poll claims that the public supports an “agreement” between the United States and other countries with Iran to limit Iran’s nuclear program, by a margin of […] Read more »
Stop Writing About Polls Comparing Obama to Frank Underwood
There’s a new viral political opinion poll claiming a fictional opportunistic sociopath is more popular than President Barack Obama. Don’t believe it. … To be sure, this says a lot about the state of opinion polling and very little about the public’s current opinion of a U.S. president. Public opinion […] Read more »
How Wrong Were 2014 Polls, Really?
An excerpt from The Surge: 2014’s Big GOP Win and What It Means for the Next Presidential Election (Rowman & Littlefield): Democrats lost big in the 2014 elections, but in the aftermath, polling also took a hit for largely understating the size of Republicans’ win. While most polls and poll-based models […] Read more »
Is Hillary Clinton’s Famous Name Boosting Her in Early 2016 Polls?
… For about half of Americans, the question “Who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton or Scott Walker?” is effectively “Who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton or some Republican governor?” Many Republicans will choose “some Republican governor” over Clinton no matter what. But if national elections are swung by […] Read more »
CNN Cherry Picks Poll Results Making It Appear Clinton Hurt by Emails
On Wednesday, March 18, 2015, CNN announced the results of a new poll, showing “Clinton still tops in 2016.” It was so positive for the former secretary of state that the Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza called it “the best news Hillary Clinton has had in weeks.” … Two days earlier, […] Read more »