Herding is for horses. Not for pollsters doing horserace polls. Neither should the media herd the field in a political horserace via debates. Why? CONT. Lee Miringoff, Marist Poll Read more »
Polling’s Secrecy Problem
The debunking of a recent academic paper on changing views about same-sex marriage has raised concerns about whether other political science research is being properly vetted and verified. But the scandal may actually point to vulnerabilities in a different field: public polls. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »
Rick Santorum Denounces Fox News Curbs on Debate
… A day after Fox News announced that its Republican presidential primary debate in August would include only the 10 candidates polling the highest in national surveys, Rick Santorum denounced the criteria on Thursday. … “The idea that a national poll has any relationship to the viability of a candidate […] Read more »
CNN & Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Library announce groundbreaking format for Republican presidential primary debate
CNN and the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Library announced today a groundbreaking debate format that will provide voters an opportunity to hear from all of the leading candidates seeking the Republican presidential nomination. … The September 16, 2015 primetime event will be divided into two parts featuring two groups […] Read more »
Poll Position: Fox News rules will limit the field in first GOP presidential debate
Fox News, which is hosting the first Republican debate of the 2016 campaign, will require participants to place in the top 10 in an average of the five most recent national polls in the run-up to the event, according to details obtained by The Washington Post Thursday. CONT. Matea Gold, […] Read more »
Right-Wing Wins Come at Too High a Price
… Not since 1886, the press widely reported, has a sitting party increased the number of seats and vote share as the Conservatives just did. Nearly every public poll reported a dead-even contest between Labour and the Conservatives. How could British pollsters have gotten it so wrong? Just two months […] Read more »