Every few months, the Washington Post (in partnership with ABC News) offers the world a brand new bit of insight. This week, it was that Donald Trump leads the Republican field seeking the party’s presidential nomination, a result that likely prompted more than a few people to wonder, How did […] Read more »
Inside the New York Times Polling Operation
… It has been an active year at news surveys, and it’s about to get busier. We’ve already polled the American public on Hillary and Huckabee, on money and politics, on Obamacare and gay marriage. We’re planning many more polls about a range of political, economic and social issues this […] Read more »
Seib Video: What Do Donald Trump’s Poll Numbers Mean?
How should politicians and voters react to Donald Trump‘s strong showing in GOP polls? Washington Bureau Chief Jerry Seib explains what his numbers mean, and what they don’t. Wall Street Journal Read more »
Are Polls Trumping Political Reality?
… Today’s Washington Post/ABC News poll shows Trump leading the field of 16 candidates—with 24%, the biggest showing any candidate has made so far this year. Yet the same survey shows that Republicans don’t share Trump’s views — even on immigration — and 54% say he doesn’t reflect Republican values. […] Read more »
How did the pollsters get the British elections so very wrong?
The past 12 months have not been kind to political pollsters. Opinion polls have been well wide of the mark in the U.S. midterms, the Israeli general election, the Greek and Scottish referendums, and the British general election. The U.K. election was perhaps the most embarrassing of all. … In […] Read more »
What the latest presidential polls tell us – hint, it’s not who’s going to win
“Ignore the presidential polls,” experts tell us. “Presidential polls are meaningless” this early in the game. OK, so why is everyone paying so much attention to them? Should anyone really care that Donald Trump has “surged” to the top of the crowded Republican field? Or that Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) […] Read more »