… With the major contenders for the GOP nomination now numbering 17, Fox News will only allow the top 10 candidates into the first GOP debate on Thursday. To determine the participants, Fox will be averaging together five national polls. … I took a stab at averaging the latest five […] Read more »
There’s No Perfect Way To Sort The Candidates For A Primary Debate
At this point in past presidential primary campaigns — about six months before any voting is scheduled — it was easy to mostly ignore early polls. This year is different, because the Fox News debate this Thursday is using national polls to sift a top 10 from the 17-strong GOP […] Read more »
Who Gets Into the Republican Debate: Rounding Could Decide
Two issues normally confined to the nerdy world of poll analytics may determine the final spots on stage for this week’s Republican debate. The ways that Fox News — which is televising the debate and setting the rules — resolves the issues could end up keeping Rick Perry from participating. […] Read more »
Everyone Is Already Freaking Out Over the 2016 Election Polls
It’s been a bad year for polls. They were wrong in forecasting a close vote in the Greek referendum last month, wrong in overstating the Labour Party’s strength in the British elections in May, off in predicting the outcomes in the Israeli election, and off in the Scottish independence referendum […] Read more »
Marist suspends primary poll to avoid being part of debate
As candidates jostle to make the cut for the first GOP presidential debate this week, the McClatchy-Marist Poll has temporarily suspended polling on primary voter choices out of concern that public polls are being misused to decide who will be in and who will be excluded. CONT. Steve Thomma, McClatchy Read more »
Donald Trump Surges in New NBC News/WSJ Poll
Days before the first Republican debate, Donald Trump has surged into the national lead in the GOP primary race, with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush following, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows. CONT. Carrie Dann, NBC News Read more »