… So far this year, live-interview telephone surveys have tended to show Mrs. Clinton leading by a slightly larger margin than those conducted online. There hasn’t been a live-interview telephone survey since Mr. Trump beat back all his rivals early this month. So Mrs. Clinton’s seeming lead has seemed to […] Read more »
Trump hires former Scott pollster Tony Fabrizio
After resisting hiring a pollster for months, Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has signed up veteran political strategist Tony Fabrizio, sources tell POLITICO. CONT. Marc Caputo, Politico Read more »
Online Course: Understanding and Interpreting Polls
The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), the World Association for Social, Opinion and Market Research (ESOMAR) and the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR) have partnered with The Poynter Institute to launch the first-ever international online training program for journalists to help improve media coverage of polls […] Read more »
5 numbers that mattered this week
Many of the nation’s top pollsters are gathered here this weekend — grappling with the significant changes in their industry, and how those shifts might impact their ability to survey voters accurately ahead of the most closely followed election in modern history. So for this week’s “5 Numbers” feature — […] Read more »
Pew Research: YouGov consistently outperforms competitors on accuracy
… There is nothing sacrosanct about demographics. These are convenient variables to weight by since there are official statistics (sometimes misleadingly referred to as “the Census”) available on many demographics. However, you can weight on anything, so long as its distribution is known. … It has long been known that […] Read more »
The polling wars begin
The 2016 presidential polling wars have begun. With the release Tuesday of new polls in three key battleground states showing Donald Trump running neck-and-neck with Hillary Clinton, the sniping began in earnest, with partisans on all sides taking aim at Quinnipiac University — a four-year college in Connecticut known most […] Read more »