It has been a rocky few weeks all over the world. Only a few surprising presidential poll results have broken through in a news cycle dominated by shootings by and of the police, the F.B.I.’s decision not to indict Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick, more terror in France and […] Read more »
Convention Bumps
As we head into the convention phase of the campaign, I thought it would be useful to review the extent to which the convening party candidate receives a bump in the polls during their convention. CONT. Tom Holbrook (UW-Milwaukee), Politics by the Numbers Read more »
USC, Los Angeles Times launch daily election poll
Two USC centers and The Los Angeles Times are launching a daily nationwide poll whose updates over time will reveal shifts in Americans’ opinions on the presidential candidates. The new USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election “Daybreak” Poll is a probability poll that will provide a best estimate of how America […] Read more »
This will be a brutal presidential race. Clinton’s top strategist talks about what’s next.
The latest polling has painted a worrisome, though somewhat mixed, picture for Hillary Clinton. … Overall, the polls have unleashed a wave of speculation that Clinton is sinking under the weight of the FBI revelations, and a great deal of hand-wringing among her supporters, who are wondering whether this is […] Read more »
Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls
… There’s been a lot of news over the past two weeks — the conclusion to the FBI’s investigation into Clinton’s emails and the Dallas shootings of police officers, in particular — and it would be nice to see how the polls settled in after a couple of slow weeks […] Read more »
The Misleading ABC/Washington Post Poll on Hillary Clinton’s Emails
According to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI’s recommendation not to charge Hillary Clinton with a crime over her handling of emails while she was secretary of state. But the people who designed the poll chose not to ask about the issue […] Read more »