You can’t trust the media, according to President Trump — unless the media happens to tell you that many people don’t trust the media. In that case, you can trust that the media is reporting trustworthy information about the public’s distrust of the media. It makes sense, if you don’t […] Read more »
Trump Job Approval Slipped to 36.9% in His Third Quarter
Throughout Donald Trump’s third quarter as president, from July 20 through Oct. 19, an average of 36.9% of U.S. adults approved of the job he was doing. That represented a nearly two-percentage-point decline from his second quarter, after a similar decline from his first to second quarter. CONT. Jeffrey M. […] Read more »
Why the polls are still wrong
The polls that failed to detect the full strength of President Trump on Election Day continue to underestimate the president’s support for the job he is doing, paying way too much attention to the Twitter wars and ignoring the public support for many of the actions is undertaking. This can […] Read more »
How Do Americans Feel About The NFL Protests? It Depends On How You Ask.
The debate over NFL player protests was reignited on Sunday when Vice President Mike Pence left an Indianapolis Colts game early after a number of players on the visiting San Francisco 49ers kneeled during the national anthem. (At least one player on the team has kneeled during the anthem every […] Read more »
The ‘Nate Silver Effect’ Is Changing Journalism. Is That Good?
The near-year since Donald Trump’s surprise electoral victory has been filled with soul-searching and recriminations among those who research public opinion and those who write about it. A conversation around whether polls failed has hardened into two main camps: one blaming the data, the other blaming the media. But this […] Read more »
Fake polls — just a Trump put-down or a real problem?
At a recent press conference, Sarah Huckabee Sanders brushed back a question from a CNN reporter about a Fox News poll that showed 56 percent of the American people saw President Trump as “tearing the county apart.” She used Trump’s favorite put-downs: “A lot of those same polls told you […] Read more »