For most Americans, the debt ceiling is something abstract and technical that officials in Washington fight about. They have a hard time understanding the impact that this issue could have on their daily lives, and they do not appear to be listening to the warnings that policy experts are issuing […] Read more »
Pollsters worry Trump problem is ‘back with a vengeance’
Pollsters are again staring down a familiar nemesis: Donald Trump. The polling industry whiffed every year Trump has been on the ballot. … And now, with Trump expanding his lead over his GOP primary rivals, pollsters are fretting about a bloc of the electorate that has made his support nearly […] Read more »
Not Biden vs. Trump Again! The Disgruntled Voters Who Could Decide the 2024 Election
Key Points• Joe Biden’s approval numbers are weak and are reminiscent of the numbers from some recent presidents who lost reelection.• However, Biden is still very competitive in polling with the current leader for the Republican presidential nomination, Donald Trump, in part because voters still have less negative attitudes toward […] Read more »
Stop Freaking Out Over Every 2024 Poll
Not long after the Washington Post/ABC poll was released on Sunday, the “hot take” machines started whirring furiously online and inside the Beltway. The poll, which showed former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by six points (45% to 39%), “is an outlier,” cried many left-leaning commentators as well […] Read more »
Asking Inclusive Questions About Gender: Phase 1
Gender is an important piece of demographic information that Gallup collects in its polls worldwide. Attitudes and experiences often differ in important ways by gender, and collecting this information is crucial to understanding people’s experiences. … Generational changes in gender identity may fundamentally change how sex and gender are measured […] Read more »
Biden’s dragging poll numbers won’t matter in 2024 if enough voters loathe his opponent even more
Joe Biden doesn’t need to be popular to win the 2024 election – he just needs his opponent to be more unpopular. Drew Angerer/Getty Images Charles R. Hunt, Boise State University Commentators were quick to note President Joe Biden’s low job approval and favorability ratings after he announced his long-expected […] Read more »