This week, Dr. Frank Newport examines in-depth five key aspects of current American public opinion. What’s behind Donald Trump’s latest job approval ratings? What percentage of Americans are paying attention to his tweets? How should Americans’ feelings about complex foreign policy initiatives be taken into account? How much are Americans’ […] Read more »
The Numbers Say Dems Still Have an Edge—But Not a Huge One
In both life and politics, things aren’t always quite as straightforward and tidy as we would like. There can be a general agreement on the direction something is headed, but not necessarily on the degree. A month ago this column looked at dueling high-quality polls—one for ABC News and The […] Read more »
AP announces debut of new Election Day survey
The Associated Press announced today it will debut a new election survey in November aimed at capturing the opinions and preferences of voters as they choose who to vote for, along with the reasons behind their decision. AP VoteCast is based on a decade of research and experimentation that moves […] Read more »
Can we still trust polls?
Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as the UK’s decision to leave the European Union through “Brexit,” rattled public confidence in polls. Since these two major world events occurred, we have been asked the same question when giving presentations, on social media, in interviews, and […] Read more »
Trump shouldn’t expect an approval spike after the North Korean prisoner release
President Trump basked in the applause of the crowd at his rally Thursday night in Indiana. After nodding along with chants of “U-S-A,” he began his speech by celebrating the news of the day: the release of three men who had been held prisoner by North Korea. “At 2 a.m., […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Fake Poll … Claims
President Donald Trump recently cited a Reuters/Ipsos Poll to show his approval rating among African Americans is on the rise. But, even the organization behind the poll said, not so fast. In this episode, the Poll Hub team breaks down the controversy, analyzes the survey, and explains why the president’s […] Read more »