President Trump’s attacks on the press have reached a new level in recent weeks. On Sunday, he called the press, “very dangerous & sick” and wrote that the media can “cause War.” The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team talks about what the goal of the president’s rhetoric is and how the […] Read more »
Trump’s comparison of his popularity to Obama’s is less wrong than it used to be
It’s not enough for President Trump to be president. That position, generally considered one of the most significant marks of achievement in American society, is not enough for Trump. He must be — and often insists that he is — one of the greatest presidents, if not the greatest. Last […] Read more »
Polls and history continue to point to a Ted Cruz victory in Texas
A new Quinnipiac University poll finds that Republican Sen. Ted Cruz holds a 49% to 43% lead over Democrat Beto O’Rourke in the Texas US Senate race. Cruz has led in every poll of the race taken in the last year. The average poll over the last two months has […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Answering the Critics’ Questions
Following the release of The Marist Poll’s latest midterm battleground state polls with NBC News covering Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota, social media comments questioned the Poll’s methodology and accuracy. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we address some of our critics’ comments and answer their questions. The topics on […] Read more »
Trump’s approval ratings so far are unusually stable – and deeply partisan
Over the course of an eventful first 18 months in office, President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have remained remarkably stable. There has also been a wider gap between Republicans’ and Democrats’ views of Trump than for any other U.S. president in the modern era of polling. CONT. Amina Dunn, Pew Read more »
Donald Trump’s very weird polling problem
There’s an old political cliche that goes like this: Presidents get too much credit when the economy is going well — and too much blame when it’s going poorly. That cliche begets this political reality: When the economy is good and/or people believe the economy is good, a president is […] Read more »