The 2020 race for the Democratic nomination has already begun, and we’re already seeing some early polling results. But how much do standings among primary voters this early matter? A look back at past CBS News polling shows that since 2004, being an early frontrunner hasn’t always led to the […] Read more »
The Empire State Weighs in on 2020
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we break down the latest NBC 4 New York/Marist Poll numbers. Do New York Democrats want a 2020 presidential nominee who is more progressive or more moderate? With which Democratic candidates would New York Dems be the happiest as their party’s nominee? We’ll […] Read more »
‘Who is real, and who isn’t?’ Pollsters struggle to measure huge 2020 field
The logjam of nearly two dozen declared or likely Democratic presidential candidates is overwhelming public pollsters trying to measure the 2020 primary. New surveys are cramming up to 23 Democrats into their questionnaires after the Democratic National Committee set a low, 1 percent polling threshold to gain admittance into the […] Read more »
Motivated Reasoning, Public Opinion, and Presidential Approval
The relationship between the economy and presidential approval is one of the largest and deepest literatures in political science. Scholars have debated between objective and subjective economic indicators, retrospective and prospective evaluations, and what factors moderate the relationship between the two, but their symbiosis has rarely been in doubt. The […] Read more »
Longtime Boston pollsters for Healey, Warren launch new firm
Two veteran Democratic pollsters who have worked for some of the biggest names and issues in Massachusetts politics are hanging a new shingle. Chris Anderson, a pollster for Fox News and Attorney General Maura Healey, and Matthew Shelter, who has worked for 30 years at Kiley & Co., on Wednesday […] Read more »
Mark Penn, Ex-Clinton Loyalist, Visits Trump, and Democrats Are Not Pleased
Mark J. Penn, one of the primary architects of President Bill Clinton’s 1996 re-election campaign, met briefly with President Trump in the Oval Office last week, according to two people in attendance. CONT. Annie Karni, New York Times Read more »