An interesting, and unusually detailed, poll story from @davidmdrucker Saturday is worth some consideration and comment. It covers WI, MI, PA, IA, FL and TX. … This was sponsored by an interest group (“Americans for Fair Skies”) and conducted by @WPAintel (WPAintelligence) a Republican firm (Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Club […] Read more »
Countdown to the Debates
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the qualifying criteria for this election cycle’s Democratic primary debates. The Marist Poll took opposition to how polls were used during the 2016 primaries to determine inclusion. Have things changed? We pick up that discussion. Then, Mother’s Day is this weekend! […] Read more »
When Online Survey Respondents Only ‘Select Some That Apply’
Anyone who has taken a survey has likely been given the option to “check all that apply” when answering a question. The instruction is widely used in data collection because of its ease and efficiency. But when designing an online survey questionnaire, there is more than one way to ask […] Read more »
What Happened To George W. Bush’s GOP?
The Bushes, and in many ways Texas, shaped the identity of the Republican Party across three decades. In a live taping of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast in Houston, the crew discusses how and why the GOP has changed since the end of President George W. Bush’s tenure. Houston Chronicle columnist […] Read more »
Will Texas Be A Battleground State In 2020?
In a live taping of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast in Austin, Texas, the crew debates whether Texas will be a battleground state in 2020. Special guest Ashley Lopez, senior politics reporter at KUT, joins in the debate. The team also faces off with the audience in a round of political […] Read more »
Many Democrats are misreading 2016 to assume that Biden is their best chance in 2020
In the past two weeks, there’s been a divergence in the Democratic presidential primary field. Former vice president Joe Biden has surged in recent polling while Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) has seen his support slacken. … Why? What is spurring Biden’s surge? One key factor appears to be the perception […] Read more »