… If it weren’t for the news media, Trump says, he’d be at, say, 75 percent approval. He said something similar earlier this week, claiming that without the Russia investigation, his approval would be at 65 percent because of how well the economy is doing. (It would not be.) Seventy-five […] Read more »
A Consumer Guide to Polls
… There is no such thing as a perfect poll. If there were, it would include only people who are going to vote in the election of interest, and the sample would match their demographics precisely, both overall and within subgroups. That won’t happen because there is no way of […] Read more »
Evolution: The change in the Roper Center’s acquisition policy
The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research recently announced a change in its acquisition policy to include online non-probability based samples. The change aims to increase transparency. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we speak with Gary Langer, President of Langer Research Associates, who serves as the Roper Board’s […] Read more »
Why we’re pressing pause on political polling at the Herald and the Age
In the wash-up from last Saturday’s federal election questions are rightly being asked about how all the major public polling companies failed to predict the Morrison government’s victory. … But it’s not just the pollsters who need to reflect on their approach in the wake of this election – the […] Read more »
Poll failure, again
The big news in polling this week: the Australian election! In our Netflix world, I’ve become a fan of Australian TV, but don’t recall anything from down under being big news in the U.S. since 2006, when “Crocodile Hunter” Steve Irwin was allegedly killed by a stingray that stabbed him […] Read more »
People lie about going to church and aren’t sure what “rural” means: Highlights from the latest in public opinion research
This past weekend, the smart folks who try to figure out what the hell we’re thinking at any given moment gathered in Toronto for the annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. The jobs of pollsters and journalists don’t have a perfect overlap — mostly, we like […] Read more »