Jim and John McLaughlin occupy a fraught space in Trump World as pollsters for a president who runs on gut instinct and disparages the polling industry that failed to forecast his shocking 2016 election victory. The McLaughlin brothers, both of whom are on the Trump campaign’s 2020 polling team led […] Read more »
Trump renews attacks on Fox News after poll found 51% of voters support impeachment, removal
Negative poll numbers have deepened President Donald Trump’s resentments toward Fox News. “From the day I announced I was running for President, I have NEVER had a good @FoxNews Poll,” Trump tweeted Thursday. “Whoever their Pollster is, they suck.” The president did not specify which poll numbers bothered him so […] Read more »
What Would Happen If American Voters All Got Together And Talked Politics?
There is a story that Stanford University political science professor Jim Fishkin likes to tell about George Gallup, the man who helped popularize public opinion polling in America. After the 1936 presidential election — which Gallup’s polling correctly called for Franklin D. Roosevelt — Gallup delivered a lecture at Princeton […] Read more »
Impeachment polling doesn’t bolster your narrative as much as you might think
On Tuesday, The Washington Post released a new poll evaluating how Americans view the impeachment inquiry underway in the House. Since we last polled on the question in July, there was a substantial increase in support for an inquiry, across partisan groups. … There is no question that polls after […] Read more »
Investigations usually hurt a president’s public reputation – but Trump isn’t usual
Douglas L. Kriner, Cornell University and Eric Schickler, University of California, Berkeley Will the House impeachment inquiry of President Donald Trump ultimately have any effect? Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi had long resisted calls for impeachment, arguing that it is “just not worth it.” However, the Trump administration’s initial refusal to […] Read more »
Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?
It’s now been almost two weeks since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced an impeachment inquiry. In the past week, the House began taking testimony, at least one more whistleblower came forward, and FiveThirtyEight launched our impeachment polling tracker. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a […] Read more »