In the 1997 movie “Wag the Dog,” a political adviser manufactures a war to help a scandal-besieged president win reelection. This parallel came to many minds after President Trump ordered airstrikes that killed Iran’s Quds Force commander, Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani. … The “rally around the flag” effect happens when […] Read more »
With A Month To Go Before Iowa And New Hampshire, Anything Can Happen
Democrats all want one thing: to beat Donald Trump. The problem is, they can’t agree on who’s best to do that. … So what’s the state of play a month out? How predictive are Iowa and New Hampshire for who becomes the Democratic nominee? And should we even pay attention […] Read more »
D.N.C. Tells Pollsters to Do More Polls
The morning after the Democrats’ last debate in December, the Democratic National Committee announced the thresholds to qualify for the next one, scheduled for Jan. 14 in Des Moines: 5 percent support in four qualifying polls, or 7 percent in two early-state polls. … Those who haven’t made the cut […] Read more »
Want to know what will happen in 2020? Look to state polls for the answer
Before an election the media closely follows polls. Rob Crandall/Shutterstock.com Daniel R. Birdsong, University of Dayton Public opinion polls are ingrained in American politics. It seems like every day there is a new poll about the presidential election or impeachment or whether the public feels that the United States is […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Field
On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, the incomparable Charlie Cook, Editor and Publisher of The Cook Political Report and Political Analyst for the National Journal Group, joins the team. From the Democrats’ strategy of electability to the states critical to the general election contest, Cook offers his […] Read more »
White evangelicals love Trump. Religious voters? Not so much.
Much has been made of President Donald Trump’s strong standing with voters on the religious right, especially after a Christianity Today editorial called for Trump to be impeached and removed from office. The editorial generated a lot of press because Trump won white born-again evangelicals with more than 75% of […] Read more »