The fever may be starting to break. Donald Trump has held his party in line with bullying tactics and the white-hot love of the conservative populist base. But now — badly trailing in the polls and marred by increasingly erratic, self-sabotaging behavior — there are signs that some Republicans are […] Read more »
Why Donald Trump still has a shot against Joe Biden
The polls look awful for President Donald Trump. He’s down by about 10 points nationally and in almost all of the swing states to Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. Trump’s first debate performance was widely panned, and he needs a lot to go right the rest of the way. Chances […] Read more »
Gender in the 2020 election: Have we gotten the story backwards?
… It has become conventional wisdom in 2020 that a Biden victory would be powered by women’s massive disaffection from Donald Trump. But the Pew findings show that something else is happening that calls this assumption into question, something that may shed light on the larger problem of sexism in […] Read more »
Why Trump is losing
… Why might Trump’s narrow popular-vote loss in 2016 become a more dramatic rejection of the incumbent president? Detailed new polling from Pew Research Center shows how the electorate has shifted away from Trump over the past four years. Two years ago, the research firm compiled a picture of the […] Read more »
Signs that the president’s polling slide is over: Better polls in the Sun Belt for Trump
The polling lull continues. Many organizations like to begin polls after a debate — the vice-presidential debate was Wednesday — and they won’t wrap up for a few days. But the data we did get today hinted at the possibility that things are starting to level off for the president. […] Read more »
NPR Electoral Map: Biden Lead Widens Again With Less Than A Month To Go
It has been a rough couple of weeks for President Trump. His performance in the first presidential debate was widely panned; Trump and several members of his inner circle contracted COVID-19; and then the president said he was pulling out of the next debate, after the debate commission said it […] Read more »