Numerous Republican state legislatures are trying to pass new voter restriction legislation (e.g. limiting absentee and early voting). Meanwhile, Democrats in Congress are trying to pass laws that expand access to the ballot box. The moves from both camps come after an election with record turnout in which there were […] Read more »
Amount of people hesitant to get Covid-19 vaccine dropping rapidly
… Recent polling suggests a continued drop in the vaccine hesitant population as more and more people get vaccinated in the US. The past two weeks alone, there were two polls that show just how much vaccine hesitancy has declined. The Kaiser Family Foundation poll found that 55% of adults […] Read more »
The Future of Health Policy in a Partisan United States: Insights From Public Opinion Polls
… Over time, the voting patterns of elected officials have tipped more closely to the views of people who identify with their own political party than those of the public as a whole, emphasizing the importance of analyzing policy preferences by party. … What is not often recognized is how […] Read more »
Support for QAnon is hard to measure – and polls may overestimate it
It’s not clear exactly how many people believe or follow QAnon. AP Photo/Matt Rourke James Shanahan, Indiana University It’s hard to know how many people actually believe the key tenets of QAnon’s claims, including that devil-worshipping, cannibalistic pedophiles are somehow running the world. Its adherents have caused violence and insurrection, […] Read more »
Why Did Republicans Outperform The Polls Again? Two Theories.
… This is a relatively new phenomenon, but pollsters have increasingly found evidence of partisan nonresponse — that is, particular types of Republicans are just less likely to take surveys, so these voters’ opinions are not reflected in survey data. This was especially relevant in understanding Trump’s support, too, as […] Read more »
What 2020’s Election Poll Errors Tell Us About the Accuracy of Issue Polling
Most preelection polls in 2020 overstated Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump in the national vote for president, and in some states incorrectly indicated that Biden would likely win or that the race would be close when it was not. These problems led some commentators to argue that “polling is […] Read more »