… While Donald Trump has changed his mailing address from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue to 1100 South Ocean Boulevard in Palm Beach, one thing that has not changed is the extent of partisanship today. Many people seem to think that partisanship is simply a behavior by politicians, their advisers, and people […] Read more »
Why Political Sectarianism Is a Growing Threat to American Democracy
American democracy faces many challenges: New limits on voting rights. The corrosive effect of misinformation. The rise of domestic terrorism. Foreign interference in elections. Efforts to subvert the peaceful transition of power. And making matters worse on all of these issues is a fundamental truth: The two political parties see […] Read more »
The numbers show Ron DeSantis’ stock is rising
… Right now, no Republican is doing a better job of setting himself up as Trump’s successor than Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. If Trump decides not to run in 2024, DeSantis has as good if not better chance of being the party’s nominee as anyone. Just a few months ago, […] Read more »
How to Read the Polls Released Around Biden’s 100th Day
Most news organizations that do a lot of surveys blew through their polling budgets last year and have done relatively little polling over the past three months. That’s about to change. Every news organization in the country that does any national polling will be going into the field in just […] Read more »
Thoughts on ‘Revisiting Polling’
This week five major polling firms released a statement on “Revisiting Polling for 2021 and Beyond,” which you can find here. Friends, former clients, and readers of this blog have asked me what I thought of it. This post answers that question without going behind anyone’s back, especially since I […] Read more »
Biden Sparks Greater Party, Education Gaps Than Predecessors
President Joe Biden’s job approval ratings during his first two full months in office show greater divisions by party and educational attainment than those of his recent predecessors. Gaps in Biden’s job approval by gender and race are similar to those of Donald Trump but larger than those of Barack […] Read more »