In early fall 2020, KFF in collaboration with the Cook Political Report conducted the Sun Belt Voices Project which included interviews with a random sample of 3,479 registered voters in three Sun Belt states (1,298 in Arizona, 1,009 in Florida, and 1,172 in North Carolina). … Now, more than nine […] Read more »
Panel Data from 2020 General Social Survey Released to the Public
Panel data from the 2020 General Social Survey (GSS), one of most valuable social science resources in the country, are now available to the public. The GSS team at NORC was able to meet the challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic—e.g., to protect the health and safety of both the […] Read more »
House Democrats’ 2020 election autopsy: Bad polling hurt and GOP attacks worked
For the second time in four years, Rep. Sean Maloney (D-N.Y.) drew one of the toughest assignments: investigating what went wrong in a disappointing election. … Maloney, the new chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, worked with senior staff to analyze 600 polls in House races last year, matched […] Read more »
US is getting better and better news on the coronavirus
… The Covid-19 pandemic has been horrible. Hundreds are still dying daily because of the coronavirus. Things are still not back to normal. But if we’re looking at the data, it’s pretty clear that there are a lot of reasons for optimism. Over the last month, it seemed that we […] Read more »
Trump-Biden Was Worst Presidential Polling Miss in 40 Years, Panel Says
Public opinion surveys ahead of the 2020 presidential election were the most inaccurate in 40 years, according to an expert panel convened by the main trade group for pollsters, which said its work hadn’t yet pointed to a way to correct the error. In the aggregate, the panel said, polls […] Read more »
Yes, Sexism Really Did Doom the Warren Campaign
Elizabeth Warren has a new memoir out that is driving some interesting discussion this weekend. Unfortunately, some in the pundit world are using it to draw false conclusions in support of positions that mischaracterize both the Democratic base and the general electorate. Those misconceptions need correction. … As far as […] Read more »