John Sides and Lynn Vavreck share what they’ve learned for the midterms and beyond. The Ezra Klein Show podcast The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Election Beat 2022: Will turnout, swing voters or sheer luck decide the midterms?
The U.S. midterm election campaign has been going on for months, with upwards of $5 billion having been spent to sway the vote. All that spending has not been wasted, but it will account for far less than more persistent factors in determining the outcome of the midterms. One factor […] Read more »
The Mess in Los Angeles Points to Trouble for Democrats
… Political tensions between African American, Hispanic American, Asian American and white communities in Los Angeles are now on full display as a result of the publication of a secretly taped conversation that exposed the crude, racist scheming of three Hispanic City Council officials and a Hispanic labor leader — […] Read more »
As Biden’s New Drug Policy Shows, When It Comes to Legalization It’s the Political Leaders Who Are Being Led
… In 1990, only 16 percent of respondents to the University of Chicago’s General Social Survey favored the legalization of marijuana. By 2018, the most recent year with available data, the share of supporters had risen to 61 percent. The rate of increase was even higher among Democrats: from 17 […] Read more »
A Conversation With Lance Tarrance, GOP Polling Icon
Lance Tarrance is one of the founding fathers of modern political polling. In this conversation, he talks about what drew him into the world of GOP politics, an inflection point working at the US Census Bureau, going to work for Ronald Reagan’s pollster, then opening up his own firm, The […] Read more »
Win or lose, progressive challengers have influenced the Democrats’ agenda
Bernie Sanders ran for president in 2016. He lost, but his run inspired a movement to continue his “political revolution.” … The 2022 congressional primaries recently ended. About 70 Sanders-style progressives ran, fewer than in previous years. Seven won primaries in strongly Democratic districts. However, only one defeated a Democratic […] Read more »