Key Points• Over the past several midterms, the number of states splitting their ticket between Senate and gubernatorial races has gone down.• Still, using more recent history as a guide, it seems likely that at least a few states will cross over.• The states that split their ticket in midterms […] Read more »
Biden approval surges, rebounds to highest level since May
A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that President Biden’s job-approval rating has shot up 5 percentage points since early August — its largest and most sudden change to date. The president’s disapproval number, meanwhile, has fallen by 3 percentage points. Never before has Biden’s overall rating shifted that much in […] Read more »
Four’s a trend: Democrats are doing much better in special elections since Roe was overturned
A special election, on its own, cannot tell us much about the political environment. Grouped together, special elections can tell a story. And in the case of special elections for the US House since Roe v. Wade was overturned, the story is clear: The national environment has become far more […] Read more »
Growing Evidence Against a Republican Wave
At the beginning of this year’s midterm campaign, analysts and political operatives had every reason to expect a strong Republican showing this November. President Biden’s approval rating was in the low 40s, and the president’s party has a long history of struggling in midterm elections. But as the start of […] Read more »
Very few Americans believe political violence is acceptable
A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that overall very few Americans agree that political violence is acceptable. Eighty-five percent of Americans disagree that it is acceptable for a member of their political party to threaten and/or intimidate others to achieve a political goal. Eighty-three percent also disagree that violent acts are […] Read more »
Colorado GOP senator becomes Democrat, cites vote falsehoods
Citing alarm toward the Republican Party’s widespread embrace of 2020 election conspiracies, a moderate GOP Colorado state senator has switched his affiliation to Democrat, enhancing that party’s prospects to retain its majority in the chamber in the November midterms. Kevin Priola, who represents Adams County in Denver’s suburbs, said in […] Read more »