The 2022 election influencers

To really understand an election, you have to understand the motivations — and the lives — of the Americans voting in it. But too often our politics misses the point, and just describes people as demographic groups or party labels. We can do better. We’ve got the data for it: […] Read more »

Democrats want you thinking about abortion in the voting booth

Democrats are redoubling their efforts to keep abortion as a top issue in the midterms, as Republicans see signs voters may be shifting to concerns about the economy and crime in the home stretch. … Polls have consistently shown Democrats with an advantage over Republicans on abortion. But there have […] Read more »

The Mess in Los Angeles Points to Trouble for Democrats

… Political tensions between African American, Hispanic American, Asian American and white communities in Los Angeles are now on full display as a result of the publication of a secretly taped conversation that exposed the crude, racist scheming of three Hispanic City Council officials and a Hispanic labor leader — […] Read more »

Trump Should Testify to Jan. 6 Committee

Opinion on Donald Trump’s involvement in the January 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol has not moved after what was billed as the final public hearing of the House committee investigating the incident. However, most Americans feel the former president should have to appear before the committee and that any […] Read more »

Upset Alert: Where to look out for surprising results; rating changes in Senate, House, and gubernatorial races

Key Points• As we approach Election Day, the basic fundamentals of this midterm may be reasserting themselves, to the benefit of Republicans.• That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs.• We are highlighting a number of deep sleeper potential upsets in today’s issue, ranging from Senate races in […] Read more »

The Jan. 6 committee isn’t moving voters because the ‘Big Lie’ already did

The literal battle lines were drawn on Jan. 6, 2021, as police faced off against pro-Trump rioters at the Capitol. In the days to follow, the political battle lines formed over the importance of that day, and who was to blame. Public opinion has not shifted much since then, even […] Read more »