You know Election Day is closing in when the kids are trick-or-treating. And with the costumes out, the picture for the Senate is clearer than ever. It is pretty clear from the polling that control of the Senate will likely come down to four races: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. […] Read more »
One week to go: What history tells us about how the House races are shaping up
Historical analysis cannot tell us what will happen next, but it can provide a rough baseline for our expectations. With one week to go before votes are cast, the 2022 midterm elections are shaping up to be in line with most of the midterms conducted two years after the incumbent […] Read more »
Elections aren’t only about ‘the economy, stupid’ — and never were
The economy is not the singular, overriding factor that decides American elections — and it really never was. It’s not just “the economy, stupid.” … Even before most Americans have voted, there is already commentary that Democrats have lost this year’s elections because the party has focused too much on […] Read more »
Senate Control Hinges on Neck-and-Neck Races, Times/Siena Poll Finds
Control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College, with Republican challengers in Nevada and Georgia neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbents, and the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania clinging to what appears to be a tenuous advantage. The bright spot […] Read more »
Young voters, key to Democratic midterm success, show lower enthusiasm than in 2018
The 2022 elections are a little more than a week away and if Democrats are going to defy the usual pattern of midterms (big losses for the party in power), they are going to need some parts of the electorate to turn out more than expected. One group near the […] Read more »
Republicans head into final week with lead in seats, voters feel things are “out of control”
The election is already underway; millions have voted, and tens of millions more will before Nov. 8. Amid that, eight in 10 likely voters describe things in the country today as “out of control,” as opposed to “under control.” That doesn’t bode well for the party in power: Republicans are […] Read more »