CNN Poll: Republicans, backed by enthusiasm and economic concerns, hold a narrow edge ahead of next week’s congressional election

An enthusiastic Republican base and persistent concerns about the state of the economy place the GOP in a strong position with about a week to go in the race for control of the US House of Representatives, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The new survey out […] Read more »

Key GOP groups are more fired up to vote in midterms than Democrats, NPR poll finds

Heading into the final week of voting, some of Democrats’ key base voters’ levels of enthusiasm are far below that of Republican-base voter groups, the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll found. It is the last NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist survey before voting wraps up Tuesday. The crosscurrents of this election are combining to […] Read more »

Abortion is not influencing most voters as the midterms approach – economic issues are predominating in new survey

Amy Cox, a Democratic candidate running to be an Ohio state representative, speaks with a potential voter on Oct. 23, 2022. Megan Jelinger/AFP via Getty Images Matthew A Baum, Harvard Kennedy School; Alauna Safarpour, Harvard Kennedy School; Jonathan Schulman, Northwestern University, and Kristin Lunz Trujillo, Harvard Kennedy School Since the […] Read more »

GOP Has Political Winds at Their Back in 2022

The political environment for the 2022 midterm elections should work to the benefit of the Republican Party, with all national mood indicators similar to, if not worse than, what they have been in other years when the incumbent party fared poorly in midterms. Heading into Election Day, 40% of Americans […] Read more »

In Close, Crucial Governor’s Races, Poll Finds Sharp Split on Elections

Republicans are running dead even or slightly ahead in races for governor that could change the future of elections in Arizona and end Democrats’ hold on Nevada, according to new polling of four key battleground states from The New York Times and Siena College. … In all four states, the […] Read more »

Control of the Senate is coming down to this hidden dynamic

Control of the US Senate will be decided next week in cross-pressured states where most voters disapprove of President Joe Biden’s performance but also express unfavorable views about their state’s Republican Senate nominee. Public polls show Biden’s job approval rating is consistently below 50%, and often well below that, in […] Read more »