For two years Democrats have raged over Donald Trump’s presidency, quarreled among themselves over the best strategy for responding to it, and above all, counted the days until next month’s midterm election. The biggest political questions facing Democrats, needless to say, all remain to be decided on election night. But […] Read more »
Voting With A Middle Finger: Two Views On The White Working Class
There is one truth that has endured through the first two years of Donald Trump’s presidency: he has kept the support of the core voters who propelled him to the White House. This week on Hidden Brain, we explore two competing perspectives on Trump supporters and their motivations. CONT. Hidden […] Read more »
Both Parties Make it About Trump
For decades, the rule of thumb for campaigns during midterm elections has been the same: When the president is popular, the president’s party tries to nationalize the election, and the opposition attempts to localize it. On the other hand, when the president is unpopular, his party’s nominees try to localize […] Read more »
Good news for the GOP: Many of the most pro-Democrat voters are least certain to vote
Over the weekend, The Washington Post released details from our most recent poll conducted with ABC News. One particular aspect of the poll speaks to the central question about what’s likely to happen in next month’s midterm elections. What’s that question? Who turns out to vote. I know, I know; […] Read more »
The Forecast: The many ways the Senate could go on Election Night
… Senate forecast: Republicans will hold 52 seats (and maintain control of the Senate) next Congress while Democrats will hold just 48. Anything between Republicans holding 47 seats and 57 seats is within the margin of error. … Right now, there are an amazing nine races that are within 6 […] Read more »
Little Partisan Agreement on the Pressing Problems Facing the U.S.
With less than four weeks until the midterm elections, Republican and Democratic voters differ widely in views of the seriousness of numerous problems facing the United States, including the fairness of the criminal justice system, climate change, economic inequality and illegal immigration. … Only about half of registered voters younger […] Read more »