Are we still headed for a Democratic wave in the House next month? That all depends on how you define a wave. But one thing is clear: Democrats are still likely to flip the chamber even after all the buzz about a post-Kavanaugh Republican bounce. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
Battleground House districts remain close in new poll
The contest for control of the House remains close and hard fought, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll of the most-contested districts in the country, with Democrats holding a statistically insignificant lead over Republicans. The latest survey shows only a marginal change in the race during October, with […] Read more »
The tables have turned on health care in 2018
No policy decision during former President Barack Obama’s first two years contributed more to the Democratic loss of the House of Representatives in 2010 than the party’s drive to pass the Affordable Care Act. Now, no policy decision in President Trump’s first two years is boosting Democratic hopes of recapturing […] Read more »
What Could Hold Back a Democratic Wave? Economy, Confidence, Independence.
… Lost in all the talk about a Democratic blue wave is a set of sober reality checks — from the quantifiable to the emotional — that may help Republicans reduce their losses, and possibly even retain their 23-seat majority. In many neighborhoods with key House races, daily life is […] Read more »
What Happened to Center-Right America?
Ten years ago, during the 2008 election campaign, a number of prominent commentators, including Jon Meacham and Karl Rove, repeated the claim that America is a “center-right country.” That view was plausible when George W. Bush was still president, but since then the center right has lost ground even within […] Read more »
Two Americas, only 30 miles apart
As the US mid-term elections approach, the real divide when it comes to values and voting is between rural and urban America. And whether it’s their views on race, guns or Donald Trump, people in these places might as well be living on different planets. As part of the BBC’s Ask […] Read more »